Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.412008 0.456096 0.503488 0.558313 0.620107 0.687730 0.767513
2025-05-11 0.341067 0.401936 0.472229 0.559812 0.666570 0.793179 0.955739
2025-05-18 0.303180 0.372391 0.456234 0.566094 0.707439 0.884788 1.126692
2025-05-25 0.267974 0.339922 0.430404 0.553784 0.719548 0.937272 1.249414
2025-06-01 0.248328 0.324060 0.422507 0.561615 0.755957 1.022097 1.421614
2025-06-08 0.228024 0.304852 0.407598 0.557321 0.773746 1.081228 1.562117
2025-06-15 0.213817 0.292292 0.400026 0.561584 0.802703 1.157400 1.734308
2025-06-22 0.197702 0.275543 0.384877 0.553014 0.811156 1.202866 1.862876
2025-06-29 0.184501 0.261801 0.372709 0.547336 0.822692 1.253027 2.003073
2025-07-06 0.168269 0.242403 0.350696 0.524654 0.805276 1.255104 2.062466
2025-07-13 0.161367 0.236345 0.348056 0.531523 0.835087 1.335706 2.264486
2025-07-20 0.154915 0.230462 0.345137 0.537472 0.863505 1.416051 2.474607
2025-07-27 0.148299 0.224026 0.341107 0.541610 0.889788 1.496246 2.696437
2025-08-03 0.141546 0.216944 0.335564 0.542771 0.911005 1.569555 2.914640
2025-08-10 0.136391 0.212046 0.333133 0.548854 0.941159 1.661609 3.180917
2025-08-17 0.128194 0.201668 0.320950 0.536971 0.937483 1.689615 3.319355
2025-08-24 0.124255 0.198075 0.319857 0.544530 0.970318 1.790577 3.624291
2025-08-31 0.118547 0.191159 0.312630 0.540386 0.980405 1.847388 3.840132
2025-09-07 0.114657 0.187099 0.310049 0.544500 1.006676 1.939166 4.146534
2025-09-14 0.109044 0.179744 0.301223 0.536229 1.007576 1.978213 4.335393
2025-09-21 0.104255 0.173573 0.294141 0.530748 1.013574 2.028468 4.557648
2025-09-28 0.097339 0.163298 0.279096 0.508851 0.983965 1.998613 4.578471
2025-10-05 0.094990 0.161071 0.278616 0.515483 1.014621 2.104937 4.958166